Basketball players may at certain points be too conservative with their shots, thereby missing out on scoring opportunities, a researcher says.
Basketball players may at certain points be too conservative with their shots, thereby missing out on scoring opportunities, a researcher says.u00a0
Good news is that he has also suggested how to put high quality shots based on a Mathematical model.u00a0
ADVERTISEMENT
Brian Skinner of the University of Minnesota aimed to create a model that could take into account multiple factors to determine when it was worth taking a shot.u00a0
"Strategic decisions in basketball have long been made based on the intuition of the coach or players, but as advanced quantitative analyses are increasingly applied to the game it is becoming clear that many of the conventional, intuitive ideas for basketball strategy are misguided or suboptimal," said Skinner.u00a0
The results show that, when significant time is remaining in a possession, only higher quality shots should be taken, and this cutoff for shot quality decreases as the time remaining decreases.u00a0
However, even though the optimal model suggests that only high quality shots should be taken early in a possession, the study finds that NBA players may go to an extreme and be overly reluctant to shoot the ball early in a possession, therefore missing out on scoring opportunities.u00a0
The model takes into account factors including the perceived probability that a given shot will go in and the number and quality of shot opportunities the offense will have in the future in a given possession.
It does, however, have some limitations, such as the assumption that shot opportunities arise randomly in time, which call for care in the interpretation of the results.u00a0
The results were recently published in the online journal PLoS ONE.
Subscribe today by clicking the link and stay updated with the latest news!" Click here!
