Independent weather forecasting agency SkyMet Weather has said that India will experience a healthy normal southwest monsoon rainfall in 2021, and thus help with agriculture and economic growth. The agency has predicted it at 103 per cent (with an error margin of 5 per cent) of the long period average (LPA) of 880.6 mm from June to September. 

While there is a 60 per cent probability of the monsoon being ‘normal’ this year, there is only a 15 per cent chance of it being ‘above normal’. While 96-104 per cent is in the normal category, above normal falls in the 105 to 110 per cent category of the LPA. On the other hand, there is only a 10 per cent chance of excess rainfall, and there is no probability of drought.