Exit polls predict thumping win for BJP in Assam, edge in Bengal; DMK to return in Tamil Nadu

Several exit polls on Wednesday predicted a thumping victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party BJP in Assam and a clear edge for the party over the ruling Trinamool Congress TMC in West Bengal while projecting a return of the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam DMK government in Tamil Nadu and a comeback by the Congressled United Democratic Front UDF in Kerala after 10 yearsHowever some pollsters predicted a big win for the TMC in West Bengal and a hung House in Tamil Nadu with actorturned politician Vijayrsquos Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam TVK emerging as a spoiler for the DMKAlmost all forecast a return to power for the All India NR Congress AINRCled National Democratic Alliance NDA government in PuducherryWest Bengal Assembly Elections 2026In West Bengal while most exit polls predicted a BJP win two pollsters mdash Peoplersquos Pulse and Janmat polls mdash predicted a big win for Chief Minister Mamata Banerjeeled TMC Peoplersquos Pulse predicted that the TMC would get 177187 seats BJP 95110 Left Front 01 and the Congress 13 The Janmat polls forecast 195205 for the TMC and 8090 for the BJP plus and 13 for the CongressMost polls gave the BJP an edge or a victory in West Bengal Matrize said it is likely to get 146161 seats while the TMC would get 125140 seatsPMarq predicted 150175 for the BJP and 118138 to the TMCWhile Poll Diary forecast 142171 seats to the BJP 99127 to the TMC and 35 of the Congress Praja Poll predicted a big win for the BJP forecasting 178208 seats for it Praja Poll said the TMC would get 85110 seats West Bengal has a total of 294 seats with the majority mark being 148Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2026In Tamil Nadu two exit polls caught everyonersquos eye as they predicted a hung House Axis My India forecast 92110 seats for the ruling DMKled alliance 2223 for the AIADMK plus and 98120 for the TVK which is making its poll debut Kamakhya Analytics forecast 7895 seats for the DMK plus 6884 for the AIADMK plus and 6781 for the TVKSeveral polls predicted a big win for the DMK with the Peoplersquos Pulse predicting 125145 for the DMKled alliance 6580 for AIADMKBJP and 1824 for TVKWhile Matrize forecast that the DMKCongress would get 122132 AIADMK plus 87100 and TVK 1012 PMarq predicted 125145 for DMK plus 6585 for the AIADMK and 1626 for the TVKJVC is the only pollster that has predicted an AIADMK win forecasting 128147 seats for the AIADMK plus It also forecast 7595 for the DMK plus and 1815 for the TVKPraja polls predicted 148168 seats for the DMK plus 6181 for the AIADMK and 19 for the TVKPeoples Insight forecast 120140 seats for the DMK plus 6070 for the AIADMK and 3040 for the TVKTamil Nadu has a total of 234 seats with the magic mark being 118AssamAssembly Elections 2026In Assam Axis My India predicted a sweep for the BJP forecasting 88100 seats for the BJP and its allies and 2436 seats for the Congress and its partnersPeoplersquos Pulse predicted that the NDA would get 6872 seats in Assam while the Congress plus would secure in the range of 2226 seatsMatrize said the NDA is likely to get between 8595 seats and the Congress and its allies 2532Pollster JVC projected that the BJP plus would get 88101 seats and the Congress and its allies 2333 seatsWhile Kamakhya Analytics predicted 8595 seats for the BJP and its allies and 2639 seats for the Congress and its allies Peoplersquos Insight forecast 8896 seats for the NDA and 3034 for the Congress in AssamPoll Diary gave 86101 seats to the NDA and 1526 for the Congress plus The Assam assembly has 126 seats with the magic mark being 64Kerala Assembly Elections 2026In Kerala Axis My India forecast that the UDF would get 7890 seats LDF 4962 and NDA 03Peoplersquos Pulse predicted that the Congressled UDF would get 7585 seats the LDF 5565 and the NDA 03Matrize forecast 6065 seats for the LDF 7075 seats for the UDF and 35 seats for the NDAWhile Peoples Insight predicted 5868 seats for the LDF 6676 seats for the UDF and 1014 seats for the NDA Vote Vibe predicted 5868 seats for the LDF 7080 seats for the UDF and zero for the NDA Kerala Assembly has a total of 140 seats with the magic mark being 71Puducherry Assembly Elections 2026In Puducherry Axis My India predicted 1620 seats for the NDA and 68 for the DMKCongress It said the TVK is likely to get 24 seats in the assemblyWhile Kamakhya Analytics predicted 1724 seats for the AINRC plus NDA 47 for the Congress plus and 12 for the TVK Peoples Pulse predicted 1619 seats for the AINRC plus and 1012 for the Congress plusPraja Poll forecast 1925 for the AINRC and 610 for the Congress plusThere are 30 elected seats in PuducherryMost exit polls have had a chequered history and have been off the mark on several occasions in the past Some exit polls like Axis My India for West Bengal will be released on ThursdayThe counting of votes for all the five assemblies mdash West Bengal Tamil Nadu Puducherry Kerala and Assam mdash will be taken up on May 4Polls were conducted in a single phase in Assam Kerala Puducherry and Tamil Nadu West Bengal saw twophase polling on April 23 and 29On April 9 Assam Kerala and Puducherry went to polls Tamil Nadu went to polls on April 23While the BJP is seeking to retain power in Assam and Puducherry where it is in an alliance government with All India N R Congress the Congress is looking to wrest power from its rival in both these placesIn Kerala the Congressled UDF is seeking to replace the LDF government that is in power while in Tamil Nadu the DMKled alliance is looking to retain power by thwarting the challenge from AIADMKBJP and the debutant party mdash Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam The TMC is looking to retain West Bengal and thwart the challenge from the BJPWith PTI inputs