Earth's temperature expected to rise in next five years, may break 2024 record: WMO

There is a 70 per cent chance that the average global temperature for the 20252029 period will exceed preindustrial levels by more than 15 degrees Celsius according to a new report published by the World Meteorological Organisation WMO on WednesdayIt also said that there is an 80 per cent chance that at least one of the next five years will exceed 2024 as the warmest on recordBesides being the hottest on record 2024 was the first calendar year with a global mean temperature of more than 15 degrees Celsius above the 18501900 baseline the period before human activities such as burning fossil fuels began significantly impacting the climateThe 15 degrees Celsius threshold is a target that countries agreed to at the Paris climate conference in 2015 to avoid the worst impacts of climate changeA permanent breach of the 15degree Celsius limit specified in the Paris Agreement refers to longterm warming over a 20 or 30year periodCountries are required to submit their next round of nationally determined contributions NDCs or national climate plans for the 20312035 period to the UN climate change office this year The collective aim of these climate plans is to limit global temperature rise to 15 degrees CelsiusThe WMO report said that the average global mean nearsurface temperature for each year between 2025 and 2029 is expected to be between 12 and 19 degrees Celsius higher than it was between 1850 and 1900There is an 86 per cent chance that for at least one year during this period the temperature will be more than 15 degrees higher than the 18501900 averageThe report also said there is a 70 per cent chance that the average temperature for the entire fiveyear period will be more than 15 degrees higher than the 18501900 averageWe have just experienced the 10 warmest years on record Unfortunately this WMO report provides no sign of respite over the coming years and this means that there will be a growing negative impact on our economies our daily lives our ecosystems and our planet said WMO Deputy SecretaryGeneral Ko BarrettContinued climate monitoring and prediction is essential to provide decisionmakers with sciencebased tools and information to help us adapt she saidThe WMO said that in South Asia recent years have been wetter than usual except 2023 and this trend is expected to continue between 2025 and 2029 although some seasons might still be dryAccording to the India Meteorological Department IMD India received abovenormal rainfall during the monsoon season in four of the past five yearsThe IMD has predicted abovenormal monsoon rainfall this yearThe WMO said the Arctic is expected to warm much faster than the rest of the world over the next five winters November to March by about 24 degrees Celsius more than three and a half times the global averageSea ice is likely to shrink even more between 2025 and 2029 in parts of the Arctic like the Barents Sea Bering Sea and Sea of OkhotskFrom May to September during 20252029 some places like the Sahel northern Europe Alaska and northern Siberia are expected to have more rain than usual while the Amazon is likely to be drier than normal the WMO saidThis story has been sourced from a third party syndicated feed agencies Midday accepts no responsibility or liability for its dependability trustworthiness reliability and data of the text Midday managementmiddaycom reserves the sole right to alter delete or remove without notice the content in its absolute discretion for any reason whatsoeveratOptionskeyd0ddb8ef8f1a62a8cdd22fac27fc5ea7formatiframeheight90width728params